President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan has said Türkiye will “move up to a higher league†in science and technology. This article reviews the public pledge in context, examines current indicators and programmes, and outlines the structural obstacles and policy levers that will determine whether Türkiye can substantially raise its standing in global science and technology metrics.
Introduction
President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s recent statement that “Türkiye will move up to a higher league in science and technology,†reported in Turkish and international media, highlights a renewed emphasis on upgrading the country’s research, development and innovation (RDI) ecosystem. The pronouncement, delivered in the context of government policy events, reflects long-standing ambitions to transform Türkiye’s economy from lower-value manufacturing and commodities into a knowledge-intensive model driven by technology and high-skilled services.
What the statement means — and why it matters
At face value, the declaration signals an intent to accelerate public and private action on science and technology. For policymakers and stakeholders, such political signalling is important: it can prioritise budget allocations, mobilise agencies and serve as a focal point for national initiatives. But translating a political statement into measurable improvement on global indicators requires sustained resources, institutional reform and private-sector dynamism.
Internationally, countries are commonly assessed by metrics such as gross domestic spending on research and development (R&D) as a percentage of GDP, patent filings and citations, the Global Innovation Index (GII), university rankings, high-tech exports and venture capital flows. Türkiye performs unevenly across these measures: it has a large and relatively young population with growing numbers of STEM graduates and a vibrant startup scene, yet public R&D intensity and patenting rates lag behind major OECD economies.
Key indicators and current performance
Several widely used indicators help to situate Türkiye’s position in global science and technology:
- R&D expenditure: Türkiye’s business and public investment in R&D has grown over the past two decades but remains below the OECD average. OECD datasets and national statistics show that R&D intensity (R&D spending as a share of GDP) in many advanced economies exceeds 2%–3% of GDP, while Türkiye’s R&D intensity is substantially lower. For country-level data see the OECD R&D spending statistics and national figures from Turkish Statistical Institute (TÜİK).
- Human capital: Türkiye produces large cohorts of university graduates, including in engineering and information technologies, and has invested in expanding higher education. However, challenges persist in research productivity per capita and in retaining highly skilled researchers abroad. Migration and mobility of researchers are covered in OECD and UNESCO analyses; see for background the UNESCO Science Report.
- Innovation outputs: Patent grants, scientific publications, citations and high-tech exports are key outputs. Türkiye’s publication volume has increased, yet citation impact and patenting per capita remain below leading innovation economies. Data on patents and publications can be found at the World Intellectual Property Organization and bibliometric sources such as Scopus and Web of Science.
- Startups and venture capital: Türkiye’s technology startup ecosystem, concentrated in Istanbul and several universities, has shown rapid growth and attracted international interest. Still, relative to the size of the economy and population, venture capital (VC) volumes and later-stage funding rounds are smaller than in peer middle-income countries that have successfully scaled tech sectors.
Government initiatives and institutional landscape
Türkiye already has a suite of institutions and programmes intended to advance science and technology. Key elements include:
- TÜBİTAK (The Scientific and Technological Research Council of Türkiye): The national agency for coordinating, funding and evaluating scientific research and technological development. TÜBİTAK administers competitive grants, supports centres of excellence and channels public R&D funding. Information on TÜBİTAK’s programmes is available at tubitak.gov.tr.
- University and research policy: Türkiye has expanded higher education through new universities, faculty hires and research centres over the past two decades. The government has sought to create science and technology parks and strengthen university–industry links.
- National technology strategies and events: Initiatives such as the national technology move, technology-focused festivals like TEKNOFEST, and the work of the Turkish Technology Team Foundation (T3 Foundation) are part of a broader effort to stimulate public interest and private engagement in advanced technologies.
- Industrial policy and incentives: Tax incentives, R&D credits and procurement policies have been adjusted to encourage local development of defence, aerospace and information technologies. These sectoral priorities reflect both strategic concerns and opportunities for higher value-added production.
Private sector dynamics
The private sector’s role is decisive for any meaningful upgrade in science and technology capabilities. Türkiye’s industrial base includes large conglomerates that have increased their in-house R&D and multinational firms that operate local R&D centres. At the same time, small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) — which make up a large share of employment and output — often lack capacity to absorb or produce advanced technologies without targeted support.
Venture capital and angel investment have expanded in recent years, producing unicorns and high-growth firms in fintech, e-commerce and mobility. However, the ecosystem still faces constraints:
- Limited seed and Series A funding relative to advanced innovation hubs;
- Regulatory uncertainty and macroeconomic volatility that can deter long-term capital;
- Insufficient mechanisms for scale-up support and connectivity to global markets.
Structural challenges and constraints
Several structural challenges will shape whether Türkiye can move into a higher bracket on science and technology rankings:
- Public R&D investment and fiscal priorities: Raising R&D intensity requires stable and rising public and private spending. Budgetary pressures and competing fiscal demands can limit the capacity to sustainably increase science budgets.
- Institutional fragmentation: Coordination across ministries, research councils and industry is necessary to align research agendas with economic goals. Fragmented policy-making or short-term programme cycles undermine long-term capacity-building.
- Human capital retention: Preventing brain drain while providing incentives for return migration of high-skilled Turkish researchers is crucial. Global competition for talent means career opportunities, research freedom and wages matter.
- Quality of research and commercialization: Increasing publication counts does not automatically translate into commercially relevant technologies. Strengthening technology transfer offices, intellectual property management and university–industry collaboration is essential.
- Macroeconomic and regulatory stability: Investors and research institutions value predictability. High inflation, currency volatility and regulatory changes can reduce long-term commitments to large-scale R&D projects.
Expert perspectives
Experts and analysts point to a mix of opportunity and hard work ahead.
“Political commitment is a necessary first step but not sufficient. Sustained increases in R&D funding, stronger linkages between universities and industry, and targeted incentives for scale-ups are required to move the needle on international rankings,†said a senior independent technology policy analyst with experience advising governments in the region.
“Türkiye’s demographic advantages and growing digital market are assets. The critical task is to convert human capital and market size into R&D intensity and globally competitive products — that demands long-term public-private partnerships and access to patient capital,†said a technology investor with regional portfolio experience.
These anonymous expert remarks reflect themes that appear consistently in comparative research on innovation-led development. For international comparisons and policy recommendations, see analyses by organisations such as the OECD Science, Technology and Innovation directorate and the World Bank.
International cooperation and comparative models
Countries that have successfully upgraded their science and technology profiles in recent decades often combined several elements:
- Significant and sustained increases in R&D intensity financed by government and private sector;
- Strategic investment in higher education and research centres of excellence;
- Effective technology transfer mechanisms and supportive industrial policies that promote scale-up; and
- Open international research collaboration and talent mobility.
Examples frequently cited in policy literature include South Korea’s long-term push in R&D from the 1970s onwards, Singapore’s focused investments in higher education and anchor institutions, and Israel’s cultivation of university-linked incubators and military-to-civil technology transfer. Each model reflects different political economies and should not be transplanted wholesale; nevertheless, common lessons on sustained investment, coherent strategy and private-sector engagement are instructive.
Potential policy levers for Türkiye
To move “to a higher league,†options for Turkish policymakers include:
- Gradual increase in public R&D funding: Establish multi-year commitments to raise R&D as a share of GDP, with clear targets and accountability mechanisms, to reduce uncertainty for universities and firms.
- Stronger university–industry linkages: Incentivise collaborative projects, co-funded centres of excellence, and technology transfer frameworks that reward commercialization.
- Scale-up finance and ecosystem supports: Expand public venture funds, guarantee schemes and co-investment vehicles to catalyse private VC, while providing non-dilutive grants for pre-seed and deep tech research.
- Talent policies: Improve career pathways for researchers, streamline recognition of foreign credentials for returning scientists and offer targeted grants to attract expatriate Turkish researchers back to domestic labs.
- Regulatory stability and IP protection: Strengthen intellectual property regimes, streamline research-related regulatory approvals and ensure predictability in taxation and incentives.
Metrics to measure progress
Policymakers should track a range of indicators beyond headline R&D spending to capture inputs, processes and outputs:
- R&D expenditure by sector (public, business, higher education) as a share of GDP;
- Number and quality of scientific publications and citation impact;
- Domestic and international patent filings and grants;
- High-tech exports and value-added composition of manufactured goods;
- VC fundraising volumes and exits by stage (seed to late-stage);
- Researcher headcount and mobility patterns.
Publicly available international datasets such as the OECD R&D data, the WIPO patent statistics, the Global Innovation Index, and UNESCO or World Bank indicators provide comparative benchmarks.
Risks and caveats
Raising ambition carries risks if implementation falls short. Political signals can raise expectations among universities, startups and investors. If budget promises are not met or incentives are unstable, that expectation gap may erode trust. Some specific risks include:
- Misallocation of funds: Short-term or prestige-driven spending (e.g., on high-profile facilities) without attention to operational budgets and human capital can reduce effectiveness.
- Duplicative programmes: Overlapping grants and fragmented evaluation criteria can strain administrative capacity and lead to poor outcomes.
- Overemphasis on rankings: Pursuit of quick improvements in global rankings can incentivize gaming behaviours rather than substantive capacity-building.
What success looks like
Real progress would be visible across multiple dimensions over a sustained period:
- R&D intensity rising steadily toward OECD norms; increased share of business-funded R&D;
- Higher global impact of Turkish research as measured by citations and international collaboration;
- Greater number of scale-up firms and internationally competitive exports in advanced manufacturing and digital services;
- Improved domestic absorptive capacity with universities and SMEs demonstrating productive collaborations;
- Stable policy environment that attracts international investment and encourages return migration of researchers.
References and further reading
Conclusion
President Erdoğan’s declaration that Türkiye will “move up to a higher league in science and technology†encapsulates a policy aspiration shared by many governments seeking to transition to knowledge-intensive economies. Türkiye has strengths — a large, youthful population, expanding higher education and an increasingly dynamic startup ecosystem — that provide foundations for such a move. But achieving a sustained rise in international science and technology rankings requires more than rhetoric: it demands stable, multi-year increases in R&D funding, better institutional coordination, stronger university–industry collaboration, and policies that retain and attract high-skilled researchers while catalysing private capital for scale-ups.
Comparative experience suggests that coherent strategy, patient financing and implementation capacity are the decisive factors. If Türkiye’s political commitment is converted into transparent, predictable and well-targeted policies, the country can plausibly increase its scientific and technological stature over a decade. The alternative — intermittent initiatives without long-term funding and coordination — will likely yield only limited movement in global indicators and missed opportunities for economic upgrading.
Disclaimer: This article is based on publicly available information and does not represent investment or legal advice.
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